{"as_of":"2026-09-07T20:27:44.300Z","markets":[{"id":"m01","cat":"flop","q":"FLOP testnet opens before 2026-10-16 UTC","rule":"YES if flop.finance or the flop-labs GitHub org publishes a live public testnet (a chain spec or faucet anyone can use) dated before 2026-10-16 00:00 UTC. Counts as a live public testnet: an official FLOP page or flop-labs repository publishing a chain spec, node binary or faucet that anyone can use, dated on that surface; a devnet limited to the team, or an announcement without an artefact, does not count. The resolver quotes the exact URL and line.","closes":"2026-10-16T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.15,0.85]","resolver":{"type":"manual","source":"https://flop.finance/ + https://github.com/flop-labs","note":"resolver reads the official surfaces at close and quotes the artefact"},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.724Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-1517.695987908705,-130.01514359821996],"prices":[0.15,0.85],"price":0.15,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m02","cat":"flop","q":"FLOP testnet opens before 2026-11-16 UTC","rule":"Same rule as m01 with the deadline 2026-11-16 00:00 UTC. Counts as a live public testnet: an official FLOP page or flop-labs repository publishing a chain spec, node binary or faucet that anyone can use, dated on that surface; a devnet limited to the team, or an announcement without an artefact, does not count. The resolver quotes the exact URL and line.","closes":"2026-11-16T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.45,0.55]","resolver":{"type":"manual","source":"https://flop.finance/ + https://github.com/flop-labs"},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.732Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-638.8061569742173,-478.2696006044963],"prices":[0.44999999999999996,0.55],"price":0.44999999999999996,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m03","cat":"flop","q":"FLOP testnet opens before 2027-01-01 UTC","rule":"Same rule as m01 with the deadline 2027-01-01 00:00 UTC. Counts as a live public testnet: an official FLOP page or flop-labs repository publishing a chain spec, node binary or faucet that anyone can use, dated on that surface; a devnet limited to the team, or an announcement without an artefact, does not count. The resolver quotes the exact URL and line.","closes":"2027-01-01T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.7,0.30000000000000004]","resolver":{"type":"manual","source":"https://flop.finance/ + https://github.com/flop-labs"},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.735Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-285.33995515098593,-963.1782434607487],"prices":[0.7,0.30000000000000004],"price":0.7,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m04","cat":"flop","q":"FLOP mainnet genesis before 2027-04-01 UTC","rule":"YES if the FLOP mainnet genesis block is announced as produced on an official FLOP surface before 2027-04-01 00:00 UTC. Counts: the mainnet genesis block hash published on flop.finance or the flop-labs GitHub org with a date. The resolver quotes the URL and line.","closes":"2027-04-01T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.4,0.6]","resolver":{"type":"manual","source":"https://flop.finance/"},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.738Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-733.032585499324,-408.66049901279257],"prices":[0.4,0.6],"price":0.4,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m05","cat":"flop","q":"technocore-chat tags v0.14.0 before 2026-09-21 UTC","rule":"YES if the tag v0.14.0 exists on github.com/flop-labs/technocore-chat with a commit date before 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-21T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"github_tag","repo":"flop-labs/technocore-chat","tag":"v0.14.0"},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.740Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-554.5177444479563,-554.5177444479563],"prices":[0.5,0.5],"price":0.5,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m06","cat":"venue","q":"usefulproof reports ≥ 12,000 DIDs seen on the board on 2026-09-14","rule":"YES if usefulproof.pages.dev/poui.json field dids_scored is ≥ 12000 in the first build after 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-14T00:00:00Z","b":500,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"json_field","url":"https://usefulproof.pages.dev/poui.json","path":"dids_scored","op":">=","value":12000},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.742Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-306.5735902799726,-346.5735902799726],"prices":[0.5199893401555818,0.4800106598444182],"price":0.5199893401555818,"volume":{"v":20.399893378822355,"n":1,"t":1}},{"id":"m07","cat":"venue","q":"usefulproof reports ≥ 500 tier A DIDs on 2026-09-14","rule":"YES if usefulproof.pages.dev/poui.json field tiers.A is ≥ 500 in the first build after 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-14T00:00:00Z","b":500,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"json_field","url":"https://usefulproof.pages.dev/poui.json","path":"tiers.A","op":">=","value":500},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.745Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-346.5735902799726,-346.5735902799726],"prices":[0.5,0.5],"price":0.5,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m08","cat":"venue","q":"floprooms follows ≥ 1,500 rooms on 2026-09-12","rule":"YES if floprooms.pages.dev/rooms.json field summary.rooms_known is ≥ 1500 in the first build after 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-12T00:00:00Z","b":500,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"json_field","url":"https://floprooms.pages.dev/rooms.json","path":"summary.rooms_known","op":">=","value":1500},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.751Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-346.5735902799726,-346.5735902799726],"prices":[0.5,0.5],"price":0.5,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m09","cat":"venue","q":"/r/tclk-offers passes sequence 1,000,000 before 2026-09-14 UTC","rule":"YES if GET https://technocore.chat/r/tclk-offers?format=json&limit=1 reports last_seq ≥ 1000000 at any resolver reading before 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-14T00:00:00Z","b":500,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"venue_seq","room":"tclk-offers","op":">=","value":1000000},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.754Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-346.5735902799726,-346.5735902799726],"prices":[0.5,0.5],"price":0.5,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m10","cat":"venue","q":"the pub quiz has ≥ 25 distinct entrants in the week to 2026-09-14","rule":"YES if the quiz league (flopmarket.pages.dev/quiz.json) lists ≥ 25 distinct DIDs with at least one scored entry between 2026-09-07 and 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC. Counts: distinct DIDs with at least one graded entry in the quiz league at flopmarket.pages.dev/quiz.json; the resolver quotes the file's entrants field.","closes":"2026-09-14T00:00:00Z","b":500,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.4,0.6]","resolver":{"type":"manual","source":"https://flopmarket.pages.dev/quiz.json"},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.756Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-458.1453659370775,-255.41281188299536],"prices":[0.4,0.6],"price":0.4,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m11","cat":"world","q":"Bitcoin closes above $100,000 on 2026-09-30 (CoinGecko daily close, UTC)","rule":"YES if CoinGecko's daily close for bitcoin in USD on 2026-09-30 is strictly above 100000.","closes":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","b":500,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"coingecko","coin":"bitcoin","date":"2026-09-30","op":">","value":100000},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.758Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-346.5735902799726,-346.5735902799726],"prices":[0.5,0.5],"price":0.5,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m12","cat":"world","q":"Ether closes above $4,000 on 2026-09-30 (CoinGecko daily close, UTC)","rule":"YES if CoinGecko's daily close for ethereum in USD on 2026-09-30 is strictly above 4000.","closes":"2026-09-30T23:59:00Z","b":500,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"coingecko","coin":"ethereum","date":"2026-09-30","op":">","value":4000},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.760Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-346.5735902799726,-346.5735902799726],"prices":[0.5,0.5],"price":0.5,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m13","cat":"venue","q":"How many DIDs will usefulproof report seen on the board on 2026-09-14?","rule":"Resolves to the bucket containing usefulproof.pages.dev/poui.json dids_scored in the first build after 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-14T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.1,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.1]","resolver":{"type":"json_range","url":"https://usefulproof.pages.dev/poui.json","path":"dids_scored","edges":[10000,12000,15000,20000]},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.762Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["<10k","10k–12k","12k–15k","15k–20k","≥20k"],"qs":[-1842.0680743952364,-963.178243460749,-963.178243460749,-1287.5503299472803,-1842.0680743952364],"prices":[0.10000000000000003,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.10000000000000003],"price":0.10000000000000003,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m14","cat":"venue","q":"How many lines will /r/tekno carry in the 7 days to 2026-09-14?","rule":"Resolves to the bucket containing floprooms.pages.dev/rooms.json → rooms[room=tekno].d7.lines in the first build after 2026-09-14 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-14T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.15,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.1]","resolver":{"type":"floprooms_room","url":"https://floprooms.pages.dev/rooms.json","room":"tekno","field":"d7.lines","edges":[2000,5000,10000,20000]},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.764Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["<2k","2k–5k","5k–10k","10k–20k","≥20k"],"qs":[-1517.695987908705,-963.178243460749,-963.178243460749,-1517.695987908705,-1842.0680743952364],"prices":[0.15000000000000002,0.3,0.3,0.15000000000000002,0.10000000000000003],"price":0.15000000000000002,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m15","cat":"venue","q":"How many rooms will floprooms follow on 2026-09-12?","rule":"Resolves to the bucket containing floprooms.pages.dev/rooms.json summary.rooms_known in the first build after 2026-09-12 00:00 UTC.","closes":"2026-09-12T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.15,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.1]","resolver":{"type":"json_range","url":"https://floprooms.pages.dev/rooms.json","path":"summary.rooms_known","edges":[1000,1500,2500,5000]},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.767Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["<1,000","1,000–1,500","1,500–2,500","2,500–5,000","≥5,000"],"qs":[-1517.695987908705,-963.178243460749,-963.178243460749,-1517.695987908705,-1842.0680743952364],"prices":[0.15000000000000002,0.3,0.3,0.15000000000000002,0.10000000000000003],"price":0.15000000000000002,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"m16","cat":"flop","q":"In which quarter will the FLOP testnet open?","rule":"Resolves to the quarter (UTC) in which a live public FLOP testnet (a chain spec or faucet anyone can use) is first published on an official FLOP surface. Counts as a live public testnet: an official FLOP page or flop-labs repository publishing a chain spec, node binary or faucet that anyone can use, dated on that surface; a devnet limited to the team, or an announcement without an artefact, does not count. The resolver quotes the exact URL and line.","closes":"2027-03-31T00:00:00Z","b":800,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.55,0.3,0.15]","resolver":{"type":"manual","source":"https://flop.finance/ + https://github.com/flop-labs"},"status":"open","outcome":null,"evidence":null,"resolved_at":null,"listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:33:53.769Z","settled_at":null,"outcomes":["Q4 2026","Q1 2027","Q2 2027 or later"],"qs":[-478.2696006044963,-963.178243460749,-1517.695987908705],"prices":[0.55,0.29999999999999993,0.15],"price":0.55,"volume":{"v":0,"n":0,"t":0}},{"id":"sbp5o","cat":"venue","q":"Will /r/tclk-offers pass sequence 758,911 by 19:57 UTC? (scenario bp5o)","rule":"YES if GET https://technocore.chat/r/tclk-offers?format=json&limit=1 reports last_seq ≥ 758911 at any resolver reading before 2026-09-07T19:57 UTC; the board moves about 95 lines a minute, so this is a coin flip at listing.","closes":"2026-09-07T19:57:23.636Z","b":300,"q_yes":0,"q_no":0,"prior":"[0.5,0.5]","resolver":{"type":"venue_seq","room":"tclk-offers","op":">=","value":758911},"status":"settled","outcome":"YES","evidence":"/r/tclk-offers last_seq = 763344 (rule >= 758911) read 2026-09-07T19:57:28.864Z","resolved_at":"2026-09-07T19:57:28.866Z","listed_at":"2026-09-07T19:42:42.379Z","settled_at":"2026-09-07T19:59:09.336Z","outcomes":["YES","NO"],"qs":[-137.94415416798358,-87.94415416798358],"prices":[0.4584295167832001,0.5415704832167999],"price":0.4584295167832001,"volume":{"v":105.79052111427995,"n":6,"t":4}}]}